Friends Close, Enemies Closer

By Fe Bongolan

While the world watches reruns of the royal wedding for this century, America’s military and international intelligence policies are taking a swerve toward a different direction. The announcement by President Obama of the appointment of CIA Director Leon Panetta to the post of Secretary of Defense, and the promotion of Commander of the US Afghanistan forces General David Petraeus to head up the Central Intelligence Agency, also known as the CIA, is the signal of that change.

Leon Panetta will be the new defense chief, after the retirement of Bush holdover Robert Gates. Photo from Washington Independent.

The White House is faced with two wars, a thing in Libya that looks and sounds a lot like a war, a continuing budget shortfall, a bloated military budget and a Congress and nation divided. With that in mind, the selection of Leon Panetta — a liberal — as Secretary of Defense is a good thing. The placement of Panetta signals the Administration’s intent to implement reorganization of the Department of Defense, with the goal of ultimately reducing its budget by $400 billion over the next ten years.

Panetta, a former Congressman from Northern California presided over a peacetime boon from the end of the Cold War, transitioning military bases towards civilian use while Chief of Staff under President Bill Clinton. The Presidio in San Francisco and Cal State Monterey are two models from Panetta’s home state where military bases were re-purposed for peacetime civilian use for public benefit.

In the short-term, if all goes well, Panetta’s appointment also means the draw-down of American troops and the Afghan and Iraq war theaters can hopefully close shop. This also means a less intensive American military presence globally which in reality, we’re too stretched financially to continue. Panetta is a friend in a high place, and I’m glad the White House chose him for this position. Known in numerous circles in Congress — foreign relations, military and now intelligence, in DC, Panetta is often regarded as a rock star.

Afghanistan War uber vet Gen. David Petraeus, pictured in this June 2010, will be heading up the CIA, a paramilitary organization. Photo: Kevin Lamarque/Reuters

As for David Petraus as head of the CIA, we have a different signal. Wikipedia’s editors inform us: “Following his second tour in Iraq, Petraeus authored a widely read article in Military Review, listing fourteen observations he had made during two tours in Iraq, including: do not do too much with your own hands, money is ammunition, increasing the number of stakeholders is critical to success, success in a counterinsurgency requires more than just military operations, ultimate success depends on local leaders, there is no substitute for flexible and adaptable leaders, and, finally, a leader’s most important task is to set the right tone.”

The concern is obvious over Petraeus taking on the role of our nation’s Chief Spook. In this age of WikiLeaks, can someone with a lifelong career of guns, war and money be trusted with the agency whose technological capacity is sophisticated enough to watch our every move?

These appointments appears to be a long-term strategy for the Administration to reach its goal of trimming the country back from the expensive wars of the 20th century. The shrinking federal budget plays a big part in this. What role the CIA will play in 21st century America’s national security is anybody’s guess, and may be even more of a concern. Is the future of America’s defense a high-tech, hyper-intelligence network over the world?

If the White House is listening to Senate Foreign Relations members Richard Lugar and John Kerry, who believe the wars in this century are going to be asymmetrical (highly advanced military  against smaller random groups with deadly attack weaponry), both appointments transition American defense to handle that type of threat. This means detective work, policing and intelligence gathering used instead of guns, bombs, gas and no apologies. It means less American ground attack forces at risk and a melding of the military with the nation’s intelligence agencies. Right or wrong, what we’re doing in Libya is the model for what we will probably be doing in the future, which could be far less expensive in the long run. Maybe we are finally learning the lesson: investigate and act on what’s actually happening on the ground before shooting starts. On the face, this sounds right. But given our history, there is a caveat: we cannot be sure whether what’s happening on the ground is authentic or staged for our benefit or detriment.

Regardless of our current politics and perceptions, colored by the past and exasperated with the present, these appointments are not a punishment for either men. They are both known quantities in Washington. Looking at the membership of the Senate Intelligence Committee and the Senate Armed Services Committee, the proving grounds where Petraeus and Panetta will testify as to their capacity to do their jobs, the approval should look as much like a love-fest as Washington DC can produce.

On multiple levels, this is, as Machiavelli and Mario Puzo say, a case of “friends close and enemies closer.” The White House is placing people we trust (Panetta) and people we fear (Petraeus) in positions of power and enormous responsibility for our safety. Washington cheers these appointments, yet we know what Washington is capable of, regardless who is president.

Like any marriage, we should be keeping an eye out on who’s taking care of us, and they in turn, should work to earn our trust. The meaning of these appointments to me is a bit like a wedding veil, translucent enough to see through, yet the depth and nuance of what’s truly behind it and what the outcomes might be is hard to see. The appointments do, however fit well into the progressed Sibley chart of the US, with natal Mars in a long term retrograde — definitely an astrological signature of military might in draw-down. Let us hope that happens. Taking a look at our current wars of adventure, intelligence escapades and the lies leading to needless bloodshed and lost treasury throughout the past decades, our crumbling empire cannot make room for any more mistakes.

The pressure is on for the White House, the Department of Defense and the Central Intelligence Agency. They need to — and had better — get this one right.

8 thoughts on “Friends Close, Enemies Closer”

  1. This is from Nancy at Starlight News:

    Fe – What a great article! You summarize the context of these two appointments so well. The story, unfortunately, has been largely eclipsed in the media by the birther nonsense.

    In addition to the retrograde Mars mood of diminishing our military footprint, the other thing that occurred to me in reading your piece was about the natal US chart. In it, we have a very tight square between Mars and Neptune. This points to the difficulty of being aware of the facts on the ground when we enter a war. It points to how our ideology and grandiose fantasies often cloud our vision and lead to ultimate disillusionment and disappointment.

    Between 1967 and mid 1969, transiting Uranus and then transiting Pluto squared US Mars and crossed Neptune, triggering this square. From December 2003 to March 2009 first Pluto and then Uranus were in hard aspect to this square.

    In each case we went from conquering superhero to tail-between-our-legs diminishing expectations and awareness of painful realities. In between 13 and 15 years, progressed US Sun will square natal Mars and oppose Neptune. We may have another war around then that overestimates our abilities and is based on distorted realities.

  2. Thanks so much for the astute analysis. Fe (and Brendan, thanks for the “overheard” repartee). So happy to think about something other than the Wedding. Really happy you turned our heads to this so that it wouldn’t get lost in the froo-froo. Really crucial stuff. You’re so on it, Fe.

  3. Fe,
    Thank you for a thoughtful and informative summary of a complex situation. There’s just something about this phenomenon of the same faces in different places that does not sit well.

  4. Another thought is since Pappy Bush, most heads of the US CIA have had heavy political leanings. You get to know all the skeletons in the closets and bedrooms of key world players. How that information, in the hands of a career soldier, will be utilized is a bit disconcerting, unless there is another side to Petraeus that we don’t understand or know. He is a Scorpio, after all.

  5. Brendan:

    You’re absolutely right in that there is alot to ponder here. To make this situation work, the US has to regain unassailable footing in the Middle East and Africa, and that situation right now is in complete flux.

    Another is the advanced surveillance “weaponry” accessible to the CIA, which has been, since 9-11, working more closely with the military than we are led to believe. So we may still be in the thick of backroom furtive warfare, in a way that I think, half-jokingly, may look alot like James Bond and MI6 in the UK. Or headed that way.

    It feels very wide open here. My intuition, built on many years of working for the Beast — government — says we’re half-way done. But the US has alot of ground to cover in how it will manage itself and its defense in an increasingly globalized industrial world. Will corporations pay for wars in the future, like they should have been all along?

  6. Arrgh, didn’t mean for it all to convert to italics like that!

    ===================
    Brendan: Fixed–fb

  7. Very well though out and written, Fe. I think Panetta will continue Gates’ budget cutting, and a few more of his own. Neither will he be a clone of Gates, and is more than likely to take his own tack on defense matters. I think he’ll be more willing to rock the boat in other words.

    Petreaus as head spook though, that’s another thing altogether. I’ve just been catching up on his Wiki bio, and while he’s smart (top 5% at West Point), he’s been in a lot of staff positions since his early days – which is not always considered the best experience in the military. He is considered the US/world expert on counter insurgency warfare, and has served in nation building exercises (Bosnia, Haiti, and Kurdistan) as well. He’s a ‘light’ warfare guy, Ranger and Airborne qualified, and has generally served as a light infantry officer. Those are the guys who don’t have tanks or artillery, and not a lot of heavy weapons systems. First ones in. He is probably the most experienced Southwest Asia commander we’ve had, the most politically astute as well, and very mindful of the problems to come in leaving Afghanistan. A very interesting choice indeed.

    “…a melding of the military with the nation’s intelligence agencies…” This may be the foretaste of what is coming: a very reduced US armed forces presence in Afghanistan combined with a strong CIA drone and intelligence force. All working together in very tight linkages.

    Lots to ponder here…

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